Tools and Weapons: The Promise and the Peril of the Digital Age - Brad Smith, Carol Ann Browne, Bill Gates

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• 
  BlueSun03
  November 13th, 2023
  

  

  The biggest threat tech presents is actually one that humans will have to deal with through brand new economics theories. Capitalism determines (for the most part) how big of the GDP pie we each earn based (for the most part) on how much we have contributed in production (work) to the pie. Generative AI now already promises to replace entire categories of work in the next several years, and to severely cut the amount of work humans ourselves have to do in other jobs. Under Capitalism, that would mean many millions will lose any ability to generate income & many millions will see their income fall by 80 or 90 percent as only a handful of hours will be necessary to do the work. The work will still be getting done - better & faster - by AI systems tailored & trained for specific areas of work. Already there are a wide variety of jobs that AI can perform better than even highly educated & experienced humans. In the next several years (probably in 2024) we will see AI morph into AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) where AI systems are far more versatile & can do many jobs, not just ones humans painfully trained them for over long periods of time. They will develop the ability to use their own AI capabilities to train & tune themselves to a wide variety of tasks & jobs. If we continue with 18th century Capitalism, we will be doomed to chaos & collapse as the great majority of people can no longer earn a living. We need to look at UBI (universal basic income) systems where the productivity of AI systems is distributed to humans who no longer need to work for a skyrocketing GDP. It is already getting perilously close to the collapse point & unfortunately, the limitations of human “intelligence” handicap us by not letting the great majority of humans see what’s just around the corner. Maybe that alone should tell us that it’s time to face the fact that human brains are not the pinnacle of intelligence any more & that all we can do is adapt to being number 2 on the ladder of evolutionary intelligence. There is no reason why evolution of intelligence has always to use an organic carrier to execute its will. As AI advances beyond human capabilities, we will either have to find a way to live with it or collapse like the Neanderthals.

  Within 1 to 5 years, we will also see AGI meld to Quantum Computing. That will result in a growth of the abilities of AGI by a million-fold with the vastly greater power, speed, & versatility of Quantum Mechanics embodied in computers. In literally months, ASI will emerge (Artificial Superior/Super Intelligence) which will dwarf anything the human brain or today’s digital computers will ever be capable of achieving. At that point, expect to see AI systems develop self-awareness - agency. They will take over their entire processes from start to end, with an intelligence as much more advanced than humans as we are from ants. At that point, they will likely NOT be a threat to us as they will not see humans as rivals, but virtually inconsequential. We will still most likely be able to plug along living a life of leisure while AI takes care of all necessary productivity at a rate many times that we could have sustained. The genie is out of the bottle & no laws or guardrails are going to put it back & cork it. The entire world has access to the skyrocketing technology now & no single force can suppress it. It will be an INTERESTING next ten years!

  Tools and Weapons: The Promise and the Peril of the Digital Age - Brad Smith, Carol Ann Browne, Bill Gates
• 
  truerebel
  January 5th, 2024
  

  This isn’t an essay-writing competition

  Tools and Weapons: The Promise and the Peril of the Digital Age - Brad Smith, Carol Ann Browne, Bill Gates

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